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Polymarket Perps vs Prediction Markets

How Polymarket Perps and prediction markets differ for a trader: payoff, leverage and liquidation, funding, prices, fees and where the risk sits in each.

  • By PolyTerminal Team
  • Checked against the docs
  • Updated
  • 5 min read
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Two products, one collateral

Polymarket's prediction markets use pUSD (Polymarket USD) as collateral, and Perps accounts are funded with pUSD as well. The two products sit side by side on Polymarket, but they are separate: a Perps account is its own account, funded by its own deposit, and the rules of one do not carry over to the other. Polymarket's documentation puts the main difference in one line: for Perps, there is no event resolution and no $0 or $1 settlement.

What you hold

In a prediction market you hold shares of an outcome, usually Yes or No. Each share is priced between $0.00 and $1.00, and the price is read as the market's estimate of the probability that the outcome happens. When the event is decided, a winning share is redeemable for $1.00 and a losing share is worth nothing.

In Perps you hold a position: long or short exposure to the price of an asset such as bitcoin, the S&P 500 or gold. A position has a size, an entry price, a margin and a leverage setting, and its value changes with the price all the time. There is no event and nothing to redeem. You close the position when you choose to, or the exchange does it for you.

How you win and lose

What you compare Prediction market share Perps position
What moves your result The outcome of an event, and the share price until then The price of the asset while you hold
Best case The share pays out in full A gain that grows with every move of the price in your direction
Worst case The share ends at zero, and you lose what you paid for it You lose the margin behind the position, and the exchange closes it when equity is too low
Time Until the event is decided, or until you sell Open-ended: until you close it or it is closed
Exit before the end Sell the share at its current price Close the position at its current price

A share you buy is paid for in full, so the price you paid is the most you can lose on it. A Perps position works the other way round: leverage lets you hold more position than the margin you post, which magnifies gains and losses and makes liquidation possible.

Leverage, margin and liquidation exist only in Perps

Leverage is the ratio between the position and the margin behind it. The initial margin is Notional / Leverage, and the exchange closes a position when equity falls below maintenance margin. Nothing like this exists for a share you bought with cash, which is why the Perps guide and the liquidation guide are worth reading before your first leveraged trade, however comfortable you are with prediction markets.

Time works differently

A prediction market has a built-in end: the event is decided and the share settles, a process explained in the guide to how Polymarket works. A perp has no settlement date. To keep its price close to the asset's price without a settlement date, it uses funding, a payment between longs and shorts that settles every 1 hour. Holding a Perps position has a running cost or gain that a prediction market share does not have.

Prices mean different things

The price of a prediction market share is itself a probability: at 65 cents the market says about 65 percent. The odds converter turns it into other formats. The price of a perp tracks the price of the asset, and its risk is measured at the mark price, a median of three signals, not at the last trade. The two prices are not comparable, and a move that is small in one product can be large in the other.

What you pay

Prediction markets charge a fee to the taker only, using the formula fee = C × feeRate × p × (1 - p), with a rate that depends on the category of the market, as described in the fee guide. Perps charge a fee on each fill as abs(Price * Quantity) * Rate, in tiers that follow your trailing 30-day trading volume, starting at 0.0400% for takers and 0.0125% for makers. Perps also have funding, and a liquidation fee if you are liquidated.

Where the risk sits

Risk Prediction markets Perps
Wrong view on the event or the price Yes, up to the price paid Yes, magnified by leverage
Ambiguous rules or a disputed resolution Yes: the rules decide the result Not applicable: there is no event to resolve
Forced closing No Yes: liquidation
Running costs while you hold No Yes: funding
Thin books and wide spreads Yes Yes
Restrictions on who can trade Check the rules for your place Orders cannot be placed from the United States, Canada, Cuba, Iran, North Korea, Syria, Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk

Choosing between them is not this site's job

Both products carry a high risk of loss, and neither is suitable for everyone. This page explains how they differ so that you know what you are choosing. It does not say which to use. Read the risk disclosure and trade only with money you can afford to lose.

FAQ

Can a Perps position be liquidated like a prediction market share?

No. A prediction market share is paid for in full and cannot be liquidated; it ends at its payout or at zero. A Perps position is leveraged, so the exchange closes it when your equity falls below the maintenance margin. Liquidation exists only in Perps.

Do Perps settle at 1 or 0 like prediction markets?

No. Perps have no event and no settlement at 1 or 0. A perp follows the price of an asset with no end date, and funding payments keep its price close to the asset's. You close the position yourself. The exchange can also close or reduce it by liquidation or auto-deleveraging, and a market that Polymarket retires closes its positions at a final settlement price.

Can I use the same balance for both?

Not automatically. A Perps account is funded by its own deposit of pUSD, and prediction markets use pUSD held in your Polymarket wallet. Both use the same collateral token, but the balances and positions are kept separately, so check which balance an order will use.

Which is riskier?

Neither is safe, and the answer depends on how you use them. Leverage in Perps magnifies losses and can close a position by force. Prediction market shares can end at zero, and unclear rules can change the result. Read how each one fails before you trade.

Sources and checks

Every rule quoted in this article comes from the registry below. Each row names the official page and the day it was compared with the text.

All 14 rules used in this article
RuleValueOfficial sourceChecked
Collateral of prediction marketspUSD (Polymarket USD)docs.polymarket.com/polymarket-101
Perps collateralpUSDdocs.polymarket.com/perps/concepts
How Perps differ from prediction marketsthere is no event resolution and no $0 or $1 settlementdocs.polymarket.com/perps/faq
Range of a share pricebetween $0.00 and $1.00docs.polymarket.com/polymarket-101
What a winning share redeems for$1.00docs.polymarket.com/polymarket-101
Initial marginNotional / Leveragedocs.polymarket.com/perps/learn-about-trading/margin
Liquidation starts whenequity falls below maintenance margindocs.polymarket.com/perps/learn-about-trading/liquidation-mechanics
Funding charge window1 hourdocs.polymarket.com/perps/learn-about-trading/funding
Taker fee formulafee = C × feeRate × p × (1 - p)docs.polymarket.com/trading/fees
Perps fee per fillabs(Price * Quantity) * Ratedocs.polymarket.com/perps/learn-about-trading/fees
What sets the Perps fee tiertrailing 30-day trading volumedocs.polymarket.com/perps/learn-about-trading/fees
Taker fee at the lowest tier0.0400%docs.polymarket.com/perps/learn-about-trading/fees
Maker fee at the lowest tier0.0125%docs.polymarket.com/perps/learn-about-trading/fees
Countries where Perps orders cannot be placedthe United States, Canada, Cuba, Iran, North Korea, Syria, Crimea, Donetsk and Luhanskdocs.polymarket.com/perps/faq

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Polymarket Perps: How They Work

How Polymarket Perps work: perpetual futures with no expiry, margin, funding, mark price and liquidation, with the official rules and dates.

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Polymarket Perps Liquidation Explained

How liquidation works on Polymarket Perps: the trigger, the insurance fund, auto-deleveraging, the extra fee and how to read your distance to liquidation.

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Polymarket Odds Converter and Payout

Free converter between a Polymarket share price, probability and decimal, American or fractional odds, with payout, profit and break-even.

PolyTerminal is an independent interface for Polymarket and is not operated or endorsed by Polymarket. Orders placed through PolyTerminal carry PolyTerminal’s Polymarket builder code, and PolyTerminal may charge a builder fee on top of Polymarket’s own fees. This page is educational and is not investment advice. Rules were compared with the official documentation on Oct 19, 2026; check the source before you act on a number.